welcome, world.

This website will open 2016-01-01 for the Public World.

This project intends to provide everyone interested with a software that allows to develop financial, technological, and environmental simulations, based on System Dynamics (in the U.S. known as Business Dynamics), with a special focus on small business amortization and general prognosis calculations.

The author of this blog intends to open a strategic advisory consulting on 01 January 2016. Free Software provided on this blog intends to underline qualifications and competence of the author.

In every standard computer software, you can enter values somewhere, and it shall calculate your results. In System Dynamics, you can do that as well. Declare a bunch of Input parameters. Define your formulas in XML, later (don’t worry, we’ll provide some decent sample models). Once the model is running, you, the user, may choose to change any input value over time. As you desire. Simulate what happens if some of your materials go more expensive. Or how much you can save in total, if you manage to drive costs down.

Simulate Inflation. Fuel. Gas. Electricity Prices. Your Costs. Your Credits. In any combination, interaction, and feedback loop.

Our Software will show you the results, the sum of all your premises, precisely over time. No matter whether you simulate the next 24 months of your bakery, the next 12 years of your next car’s amortisation, or the next 25 years of your household’s income – a precise calculation chart showing where your  amortion point is sweetening, and how to maximize your profits thereafter. Store any combination of all your developing thoughts, and view their combined result in due time.

Exactly proposed outcome.

 
  
  
 (slides by Strategy Dynamics, UK).

Tired of Excel? – Get a no-brainer and focus on your action plan, instead of your numbers’ addition, multiplication and substraction. Focus on the real, on your results. On results based on input timelines you believe in. Change any input Value over Time.

Design Balanced Scorecards. Apply Scenario Variations. Solve questions of Complexity in an increasingly automized world. A world starting into the age of ubiquitous, surplus information. Give you orientation. First.

predicted desire v1.0 - bakery - balanced scorecard

We are developing our first product, “dynamic desire”, a Business Dynamics simulation.

We are focussing on simplicity, perfection, transparency, and user-friendly design.

PD v1.0 - presentation - small

would you like among the first to download predicted desire v1.0 from 2016, free of charge? – just join our newsletter.

You’ll be notified. You’ll be able to join the first group.
Our group of free pilot customers.

Opt-in, or opt out, then – as you prefer.

stay tuned.

====

meanwhile, follow us on twitter:

mobile_gis_logo               mydarkstar_logo                dynamions_logo_framed

@mobile_gis    @mydarkstar    @dynamions

Feedback? Ideas? Questions? – use Twitter, Facebook, or put it into a classic old-style eMail to:

info@dynamic-applications.com

It’s gonna be appreciated.
predicted desire is

(c) 2015|2016 Martin Bernhardt, Founder of Dynamic Applications.

— discaimer; legal stuff —

any free offerings are subject to pilot’s completion, which may or may not succeed in due time. Valid through 2016 or until further notice. As things do change over time, and this is a free hobby project. No warranty, no sales, no excuses. Should you find our software useful nevertheless, well, we’d be proud of that, so it’s be nice to let us know.

The world’s complexity is endless. Therefore, from a legal perspective, all models are strictly  & formally spoken, game models. We will give no warranty that these models do fulfil any specific need or simulate any realistic scenario. Use all free models on your own risk. Our software intends to be tranparent enough so you can verify any scenarios presented, yourself. As well, you may find that you think a relevant formula or driving parameter is wrong.

Please let us know, and should you supply sufficient and detailed enough explanation how to do it right, we’ll put your idea on our wish list, and may later implement your suggestion. Nobody’s perfect, but we’re interested on getting better.

We are convinced you’re going to trust them, anyways. Think yourself, verify, get your own picture. As dynamic desire is gonna be a transparent, self-explanatory solution.

one of the greatest benefits will be to experiment with possibilities:
if-then-when-that. what?!

but that’s amazing! verify your thoughts, combine facts, and give a measure to your consideration.

Weighting all the consequences.
Then, a step into the right direction.

At least, you’ve by now checked that it’s the best possible way to go.

9 thoughts on “welcome, world.

  1. Reblogged this on predicted desire p|d. and commented:
    welcome @dynamions.

    a startup developing easy-to-use, free Business Dynamics applications.

    combining Balanced Scorecards and Scenario Variations.

    all plug&play!

    Dynamic Applications – Dynamions.

    my startup.

    Like

  2. Dear Carlton!

    thanks for your request. As you guessed right, PV and batteries is a very interesting, and emerging topic for amortization calculators in today’s energy market. However, for a feasability study, we’d definitely need to understand a few more details about your specific project.

    Since Dynamic Applications is a startup in construction, see martinbernhardt.wordpress.com/about for contact details. Call Friday, or next week Mon/Tue from 9 am to 6 pm – please consider mid european time. So it would rather be in the afternoon or early evening, when calling from US.

    If you prefer, an email to info@dynamions.com would also be working.

    Looking forward to discuss the matter.

    Best greetings,

    Martin Bernhardt.
    http://www.dynamic-applications.com

    Like

  3. Hello Martin, thanks for the reply. And good luck on your launch date. From what I read, I was hoping your company could furnish some base numbers and values for things like feasibility, environmental, permit, materials, and construction cost. View my website: Fathergreen.us, REMEDP post to understand my goals better.

    Like

  4. Dear Carlton,

    based on your comment, we can offer to provide a balanced scorecard from Jan/2016, including a quantitized model description that shows the feasibility of your approach. The decision criteria you mentioned can be included in the model.

    You may then check the model to specify any desired customizations and check suitability. Provided you’re interested, we’ll implement the model on software, and show full functionality of our product by means of a web demo. Finally, we’ll offer you to acquire the software product, including your customized model and a reasonable demo parametrization. This will enable you to perform scenario variations by means of multiple runs of the software, so you can check any variation of different parameters over time, e.g. based on the different hardware components you consider to use, or the net price developments you estimate.

    For the time being, the use of batteries for profit optimization of your solar farm will be considered an enhancement option; that part could be added later.

    If interested, please send an email request to info@dynamions.com, or confirm here.

    The offering is valid starting from Jan/2016, with binding time ending on 31 Jan 2016.

    Thanks!
    and have a nice day,

    Martin Bernhardt.
    http://www.dynamic-applications.com

    Like

  5. congratulations, you’re on track.

    early mover’s incentive.

    should you manage to skip the bakery model by new year’s day and be top fav, we offer to switch priorities and start developing with your model’s scorecard right from 02 Jan 2016.

    Liked by 1 person

  6. Just in case anyone else is interested who was reading so far, please check our sample PV amortization calulator, as described here:

    https://dynamic-applications.com/about/

    The simulation can be done with basically any System Dynamics client available.

    Since this is one of the definite user favourites on our @dynamic_idea voting, we’ll sure provide you with a free sample implementation of our own client, predected desire, within 2016.

    For german readers, please find attached this very interesting sample of an autonomous, PV and Solar Thermic driven building here:

    http://www.ecoquent-positions.com/so-geht-energieautarkes-haus/?platform=hootsuite

    A construction sketch with details of the amortization calulation is freely available from Prof. Timo Leukefeld, Saxonia, Germany, here:

    http://www.timoleukefeld.de/autarke-gebaeude/das-energieautarke-haus.html

    The sketch includes a cost calculation of about 400.000 € from scratch, with 85.000 € for the PV-Solar autarky upgrade.

    Like

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